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BETMGM PREMIER LEAGUE DARTS TIPS: 25/1 NIGHT 11 ACCA

Nathan Aspinall took the spotlight in Manchester last week – can Michael van Gerwen match his success in Rotterdam on Night 11?

The Dutchman will be roared on by a partisan home crowd when he takes on Berlin night champion Stephen Bunting in the third quarter-final tie at the Ahoy.

World number one Luke Humphries, following a stunning 118.43 average in his semi-final win over Bunting on Night 10, kicks off the action against Chris Dobey.

Last week’s winner Aspinall aims for back-to-back wins as he takes on Gerwyn Price, who dazzled with a nine-darter in Manchester to earn himself a set of 18ct gold darts from BetMGM.

Finally, league leader Luke Littler looks to bounce back from a Night 10 semi-final loss to great rival Humphries when he faces Rob Cross, the only player still searching for his first final appearance this season.

Keep reading for our 25/1 Night 11 accumulator. First, here is the full quarter-final running order for Night 11:

BetMGM Premier League Darts Tips: 25/1 Night 11 Acca

  • Humphries ‘King of the Oche’ vs Dobey
  • Aspinall to beat Price
  • Under 9.5 legs in Bunting vs Van Gerwen
  • Littler to hit over 4.5 180s vs Cross

Leg 1 – Luke Humphries to be ‘King of the Oche’ vs Chris Dobey @ 3/1

Humphries sits second in the table and will be smarting from last week’s final defeat to Aspinall.

Cool Hand – who earlier in the night produced the third-highest Premier League average ever with a 118.43 display – was 3-0 up in the match so will view the defeat to the Asp as a missed opportunity to close the gap at the top to Littler.

He faces Dobey here who, a couple of results aside, has struggled to get going in the BetMGM Premier League this season.

The Newcastle arrowsmith has made it past the last eight on only three occasions, one of which was way back on the opening night.

He was runner-up on Night 1, losing in the final 6-1 to Humphries. That defeat was the first of three to the same opponent so far – and we’re predicting a fourth here as well as Humphries to top the 180 count and hit the highest checkout.

Dobey – a renowned maximum hitter – was up there with the leaders for 180s earlier in the competition despite struggling with results.

At one point only Littler averaged more maximums per match than Hollywood but recent games have seen the 180s desert him and he has hit just four combined in his last three Premier League contests.

Humphries has also hit a higher checkout than his opponent on 12 different occasions this season, which is second only to Littler’s 15.

As a result, 3/1 for Humphries to be King of the Oche (win the match, hit the most 180s and land the highest checkout) makes for a bold start to the evening.

Leg 2 – Nathan Aspinall to beat Gerwyn Price @ Evens

Aspinall now sits inside the top four but is tied on 15 points with Van Gerwen and Price, potentially giving this one longer-term ramifications in the race for Play-offs Night.

Price, while always capable of brilliance, has struggled for consistency outside of floor events.

Before hitting a nine-darter in Manchester, the Welshman averaged just over 92 across the three preceding nights and exited at the quarter-final stage twice.

Despite his explosive ceiling, four wins from his last nine Premier League games suggests he remains vulnerable.

Aspinall, by contrast, has looked sharp and composed in winning six of his last nine Premier League matches and averaged over 96 across the entirety of the last four nights.

His quarter-final win over Cross last week was the definition of clinical – he averaged exactly 96 and hit 100% of his attempts at doubles, punishing every opening Voltage gave him.

Price, meanwhile, has often been slow out of the blocks this season, surrendering early breaks of throw in recent defeats to Cross, Bunting and Littler.

Against in-form opponents those sluggish starts have cost him – and Aspinall is in exactly the type of groove to capitalise.

At Evens to win the match, the Asp looks a solid bet to stay on track for Play-offs Night.

Remember: BetMGM is paying out early when your player takes a three-leg lead, regardless of the final result. More information can be found here.

Leg 3 – Under 9.5 legs in Stephen Bunting vs Michael van Gerwen @ 17/20

There may be just one point separating their tournament averages but there’s a notable gap in efficiency between Van Gerwen and Bunting when it comes to quarter-final results.

Van Gerwen has won four of his last six quarter-final matches and remains one of the competition's most ruthless starters, averaging just under 98 across those four last-eight victories.

Bunting has shown flashes of real quality – notably beating Aspinall, Humphries and Price back-to-back to win Night 9 and recording six 100+ averages this season – but, as bottom lines go, one quarter-final win in 10 attempts is hard to ignore.

Across the 29 combined matches these two have played in the BetMGM Premier League this season, almost 70% have finished in nine legs or fewer.

Since the end of 2022, only one of their meetings has gone to a deciding leg and only once has that happened to Bunting this term.

With Van Gerwen buoyed by a raucous home crowd at the Ahoy and usually quick to capitalise when in front, this tussle has the makings of a short contest.

As such, under 9.5 legs in the match at 17/20 holds great appeal.

Leg 4 – Luke Littler to hit over 4.5 180s vs Rob Cross @ 10/11

Littler’s explosive scoring ability has never been more evident than during this season’s BetMGM Premier League.

The 18-year-old’s relentless attack on the treble 20 has produced a gargantuan 113 180s already this term.

For context the current Premier League record, set by Littler last season, is 128.

He still has a minimum of six more weeks to break that mark; given he has hit 16 or more on three nights already this season, including a ridiculous 22 in Cardiff on Night 7, he could even do it this week and we have him at 3/1 to do so.

While 2018 world champion Rob Cross is as consistent as they come – boasting the third-highest tournament average behind the two Lukes this season – his style is slightly more measured than Littler’s high-risk, high-reward approach.

True to his nickname, the Nuke is capable of causing devastation on any given night and already averages 4.91 180s per match for the tournament.

Littler’s aggressive approach is ideal for the 180s market and, given the likelihood of a relatively lengthy match against the consistently solid Cross, the probability of the defending champion landing several maximums increases significantly.

At 10/11, Littler to hit over 4.5 180s offers excellent value as the world champion looks to avoid going three consecutive nights without reaching the final.

BETMGM’S NIGHT 11 ACCA

  • Humphries ‘King of the Oche’ vs Dobey
  • Aspinall to beat Price
  • Under 9.5 legs in Bunting vs Van Gerwen
  • Littler to hit over 4.5 180s vs Cross

Night 11 BetMGM Specials

Such is the quality of this year’s field that we’ve handed out four sets of custom-made 18ct gold darts already this season – and fully expect to part with more before the final arrow is thrown at London’s O2 on 29th May!

Price joined Cross, Humphries and Littler on the 2025 BetMGM Premier League Darts perfect leg roll of honour in Manchester and it’s 5/1 for any player to hit a nine-darter at any point across the night in Rotterdam.

We witnessed five 170 checkouts in the first seven weeks but there have been none since – odds of 7/4 say that changes in the Netherlands and someone will repeat Michael Smith’s achievement at this venue last season.

Markets such as total evening 180s, over/under leg betting, King of the Oche and other player specials are all on offer throughout this year’s BetMGM Premier League, with a wide selection also available in-play.

Be sure to keep an eye on the BetMGM Premier League Darts Hub for all the latest insights as well as our social media channels as the action unfolds throughout Night 11 and beyond.

2025 BetMGM Premier League Darts – it’s showtime!

Odds correct at time of publication but subject to change

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Early payout on BetMGM Premier League Darts bets if your player goes three legs up available every Thursday between 06/02/25 09:00 - 22/05/25 18:59. Pre-match singles & multiples on outright match winners only. Cashed-out bets do not qualify. Not to be used with any other offer or enhanced / boosted markets. 18+. T&Cs & exclusions apply.

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