Euro 2024 Quarter-Final Predictions: Last-eight underdogs could rise to the occasion

We’re down to the last eight sides at Euro 2024. England take on Switzerland and the Netherlands face Turkey in Saturday's quarter-finals at Euro 2024 and there should be plenty of drama before the semi-finals line-up is completed.

The Three Lions needed a stunning 95th-minute equaliser from Jude Bellingham to avoid a humiliating last-16 exit against Slovakia and they must raise their game against the Swiss.

Murat Yakin's men eased past defending champions Italy in their first knockout tie, while the Dutch were impressive 3-0 winners over Romania in the round of 16.

The Oranje are hot favourites to beat Turkey in the last of the quarter-finals but Vincenzo Montella's men should not be taken lightly after knocking out in-form Austria.

England vs Switzerland

Switzerland to win @ 3/1

England arrived at Euro 2024 with great expectations but they have stumbled through to the quarter-finals and look vulnerable favourites against Switzerland.

There is no doubt that the Three Lions have some hugely talented individuals but there was little cohesion about their attacking play as they beat Serbia 1-0, drew 1-1 with Denmark and were held to a goalless stalemate by Slovenia in three Group C matches.

Worse was to follow in the last 16 when England failed to muster a shot on target against Slovakia until Bellingham's injury-time overhead kick made it 1-1.

Harry Kane's winner in the first minute of extra time was their only other effort on target and Southgate, preparing for his 100th game in charge, is still searching for the right balance to the side.

Alexander-Arnold, Conor Gallagher and Kobbie Mainoo have all been tried in central midfield while Luke Shaw, the only natural left-back in the squad, has not played since February.

Switzerland, in contrast, look a well-drilled and confident unit under Yakin and they were excellent in their 2-0 victory over Euro 2020 winners Italy.

The Swiss were seconds away from topping Group A before conceding an injury-time equaliser against tournament hosts Germany and their vibrant young attackers make them an attractive bet to beat England in 90 minutes.

Holland vs Turkey

Turkey or draw double chance @ 27/20

Dutch forward Malen scored twice in the final 10 minutes to put a gloss on the scoreline in their 3-0 last-16 win over Romania and the Oranje should expect a tough quarter-final against Turkey.

The Netherlands needed a late winner in their opening group game against Poland and had a Xavi Simons strike harshly chalked off by VAR in a 0-0 draw with France on matchday two.

Les Bleus, missing the injured Kylian Mbappe, spurned some great chances in that stalemate and the Dutch defence was exposed as they lost 3-2 to Austria in their final group fixture.

That result meant the Austrians topped the group, but their run was ended by Turkey, who sealed a dramatic 2-1 win on Tuesday.

Centre-back Merih Demiral scored both goals for the Turks, who produced a terrific team performance to overcome the absences of suspended skipper Calhanoglu and defender Akaydin.

Turkey have won three of their first four games at the tournament and only Germany and Spain have scored more goals than their tally of seven.

Real Madrid youngster Arda Guler is living up to the hype and the Turkey or draw selection in the double-chance market is a tempting price at Berlin's Olympiastadion, where the majority of the crowd will be cheering on Montella's men.

Spain vs Germany

Both teams to score @ 8/11

After a series of disappointing tournaments where they looked blunt in the final third, Spain have been fantastic going forward at Euro 2024. They’ve scored in every game so far, netting nine goals across their four matches.

Meanwhile, hosts Germany went into the tournament with real fears about their lack of a top-class finisher, but they’ve thrilled going forward. The Germans have scored 10 times so far, with Bayern Munich winger Jamal Musiala in the mix for the Golden Boot.

While this clash is expected to be tight, it’s hard to see either side failing to break through going forward given their performances so far. Considering the talent both teams have in the final third- on the flanks in particular - back both teams to score.

Germany to win on penalties @ 9/1

While both sides are impressive up front, it is hard to split them coming into this clash. They’ve arguably been the top-two performers across the matches to date. Neither side have lost so far, while they’ve both fought back in games when they were trailing.

Given how equally matched they are, a draw could well be on the cards here. At this point in the competition, the margin between teams gets a lot thinner, so we should expect to see plenty of cagey games.

One key issue for Spain is penalty shootouts, they’ve got one of the worst records in international football when it comes to deciding games on spot-kicks. The Spanish have exited each of their last three major tournaments on penalties, so taking this to go the distance and for the Germans to come out on top really stands out at 9/1.

Portugal vs France

Half-time result - Draw @ 19/20

In contrast to the first game, this is a clash between two sides who give next to nothing away, but that has tended to come at the expense of their own attacking flair. The French have long been too conservative for the talent they have, but it has proven successful at this level.

So far, France have conceded once through four games, while none of their players have yet scored from open play. The French have seen their last three matches at this tournament finish goalless at the break, while the same has happened in two of Portugal’s first four contests.

These two should play out a very tense affair, given how France tend to set up. Portugal head coach Roberto Martinez does tailor his tactics to the opposition, so this should be an uneventful clash early on. As a result, a first-half draw stands out in a game which is heavily backed to be low on goals.

An own goal to be scored @ 7/1

Own goals have been a feature of this tournament, with nine scored already. The previous Euros had 11 own goals in total, while there were just nine scored between the 1976 finals through to the 2016 edition.

With own goals on the rise, expect the tally to match or even top the 11 scored three years ago. That total could be boosted in this game, as these two sides have been real beneficiaries of opposition mistakes to date.

Both Portugal and France have had two own goals in their favour already, making up close to half the total tally at the tournament. For France, that accounts for all but one of the goals they’ve scored at Euro 2024. It may well be down to more than simply luck, as the way they build up in attacking areas can leave opponents in a compromising position.

France have seen five own goals scored in their favour in European Championship history, the most of any nation. Given how frequently they go in their favour, we could see another one in Friday night’s clash. With own goals seemingly on the rise, the 7/1 price on offer for another in this clash does hold some appeal.

Get all of our odds and specials for Euro 2024 in our dedicated European Championship hub.