Premier League: Gameweek 29 Betting Tips
It’s FA Cup quarter-finals weekend which means there are just three Premier League fixtures on Saturday and one on Sunday.
But what we lack in quantity we make up for in significance with a pair of crunch relegation tussles as Luton in 18th play Nottingham Forest in 17th and 19th-placed Burnley shackle Brentford in 15th.
We’ve got tips from both those games and also the Saturday evening derby duel between Fulham and Tottenham and Sunday’s claret-and-blue clash between West Ham and Aston Villa.
Tip 1 - David Fofana to Score @ 13/5
No team in the Premier League has won fewer home games than Burnley and no team has lost more away games than Brentford.
Given those facts, making a watertight case for either team isn’t easy, especially given the tension of the occasion at Turf Moor.
Both come into the game on the back of encouraging efforts, with Burnley drawing 2-2 at West Ham last time out, although blowing a two-goal lead would have hurt Vincent Kompany. Brentford, meanwhile, gave Arsenal a stern examination at the Emirates before succumbing 2-1.
Burnley are almost at a must-win stage of their season so they should be positive against a makeshift Bees backline still missing key players. David Fofana, with three goals since his January arrival, is a key figure in the Clarets’ quest for safety and looks a nice price to find the net.
Tip 2 - Nottingham Forest @ 11/8
Luton have had just three days to try to recover from Wednesday night’s disaster at Bournemouth where they somehow managed to turn a 3-0 half-time lead into a soul-destroying 4-3 loss.
Their defensive vulnerabilities were there for all to see as they conceded three goals for the sixth time in their last eight matches. They have conceded a grand total of 27 goals in those games and look so fragile at the back.
Again, Rob Edwards will have to send his side out with an intent because they need to take opportunities like this, and they’ll be swept along by a vociferous Kenilworth Road crowd.
But the problem is they are too easily cut open, and if Forest score early you would fear the worst.
Forest are going through their own bad run, although they have just emerged from a brutal run of games and no one is overpowering them.
They have pace and guile on the counter, plenty of attacking match-winners and Nuno can oversee a critical away win.
Tip 3 - Tottenham to win at Fulham @ 27/25
Spurs make the short trip across town to Craven Cottage on the back of their best performance and result of the season, a stunning 4-0 win at Aston Villa.
That alone should give Ange Postecoglou’s men all the confidence they need to see off an inconsistent Fulham in a fixture that seems to bring out the best in Tottenham.
Fulham last beat Spurs at the Cottage in a league game in 2008. And the north London side have won nine of the last 11 matches against Fulham, the other two ending in draws.
Fulham, safely escorted to mid-table by Marco Silva, have won three of their last five to ensure a relaxed end to the campaign, although they were beaten at Wolves 2-1 last time out. Wolves are also the only team to beat Tottenham in their last eight league games. Spurs look ideally suited to life on the road with the pace of players like Son, Dejan Kulusevski, Brennan Johnson and Timo Werner to stretch teams.
Tip 4 - West Ham vs Aston Villa draw @ 11/4
West Ham and Aston Villa meet at the London Stadium on Sunday after successful European nights on Thursday.
The Hammers were 5-0 victors over Freiburg in the Europa League while Villa thumped Ajax 4-0 in the Conference League, a win that came at a price with top scorer Ollie Watkins picking up a nasty-looking injury.
With John McGinn still suspended Villa won’t want to be missing Watkins as well and the England frontman’s health will be watched by many ahead of a bet on a showdown between two closely-matched sides.
Villa have started to ship too many goals - eight in their last three league games - while the Hammers have bounced back from that calamitous 6-0 drubbing by Arsenal by scoring 11 goals in their subsequent three home matches.
Both have European places to pursue via their league positions so expect it to be tight.