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GOLDEN GOALS Matchday 11: ARSENAL TO GO WINLESS IN THREE

Matchday 10 saw Manchester City suffer their first defeat of the Premier League season at Bournemouth as Liverpool capitalised to go top – Arsenal, however, were unable to take advantage of that City slip as they lost to Newcastle.

The Gunners have another huge test on Sunday as they take on Chelsea in the standout fixture of the weekend, while City will aim to bounce back at Brighton. A big Saturday night clash at Villa Park awaits Liverpool, while Ruud van Nistelrooy takes interim charge of Manchester United for the final time against Leicester.

Wolves have a must-win basement battle with Southampton and a fascinating game takes place at the London Stadium as West Ham and Everton hope to build on underwhelming starts.

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Let’s take a closer look at Golden Goals Matchday 11…

West Ham vs Everton

It has not yet been the season of improvement Hammers fans expected under new boss Julen Lopetegui, with just three wins so far in the Premier League.

The visit of Everton to the London Stadium this weekend brings an opportunity to make it three home wins in a row, though, and it’s a game West Ham will feel like they must win.

The visitors lost their opening four matches of the season but did go five games unbeaten before last week’s disappointing reverse to then-winless Southampton.

Those opening four defeats saw 14 goals conceded and, while defensively the Toffees have improved, scoring goals hasn’t been easy with just 10 in 10 games.

An xG of 10.84 reflects Everton’s struggles in front of goal and indicates it is a lack of overall creativity, rather than missed chances, stunting their attack. Midfielder Dwight McNeil is the top scorer so far with three, though he hasn’t scored since his brace in the win over Crystal Palace back in September.

West Ham are faring slightly better in front of goal, having notched three more than Everton and with an xG of 14.29 – the drop to 12.77 without penalties is notable in that though, especially when you consider the debatable spot kick that clinched the win against Manchester United.

History agrees with the stats, suggesting this one will not be a thriller. Just two of the last 11 league meetings between the sides have contained over 2.5 goals, one of which is West Ham’s 3-1 win at Goodison Park last season, while only one of those 11 games has ended in a draw.

Neither side really convinces currently but home advantage swings this for West Ham – captain Jarrod Bowen does have five goal contributions in eight games against Everton so 19/5 for him to score in a Hammers win could provide some value.

Prediction: West Ham 1-0 Everton

Wolves vs Southampton

It feels like a matter of time before Wolves enjoy their first Premier League victory of the season after enduring the most difficult opening 10 games of the campaign, according to Opta data.

After a miraculous five-minute turnaround at the Amex a fortnight ago, Gary O’Neil’s side again displayed their powers of recovery to come from behind against Crystal Palace. The Eagles eventually pegged them back but consecutive draws show promising signs for the Old Gold.

The form of loanee striker Jorgen Strand Larsen also gives cause for optimism at Molineux. Wolves’ number nine has scored three goals in his last four outings and is outperforming his xG by 1.4, which is better than Mohamed Salah, Jarrod Bowen, Son Heung-min and his Norwegian compatriot Erling Haaland.

Larsen’s strike partner, Matheus Cunha, has also been in impressive form for the Midlands club. The former Atletico Madrid man leads the team in most offensive categories – including goals, shots and shot-creating actions per 90 minutes.

These two in-form attackers should have an impact on Saturday and 17/2 for Strand Larsen to score and Cunha to have over 1.5 goals on a Bet Builder is not outside the realms of possibility.

Southampton finally ended their 22-game winless run in the Premier League with a win against Everton at St Mary’s last weekend.

Adam Armstrong scored in his second consecutive game across all competitions to secure three points for the Saints and some much-needed consistency in front of goal. Russell Martin’s side have scored seven goals in 10 matches this season, a league-low and only two fewer than they have managed in their three EFL Cup outings.

Fortunately, they play the most generous defence in England’s top flight. Wolves have conceded a league-high 27 goals across 10 games this season, two fewer than Sheffield United had allowed at this point last year.

Regardless, Wolves' long wait for a win ends this weekend. They have demonstrated signs of improvement and, if they can keep the goals conceded to a minimum, the Old Gold should leave Molineux with a valuable three points before the international break.

Prediction: Wolves 3-1 Southampton

Brighton vs Manchester City

Manchester City have now lost three of their previous three across all competitions for the first time since April 2018, they next meet a plucky Brighton side at the Amex on Saturday following an impressive showing against league-leaders Liverpool.

Tottenham (2-1), Bournemouth (2-1) and Sporting (4-1)... it’s hard not to look at the champions’ current form as an omen going into this one. The holes in their game are as clear as it gets at the moment – notably the number of opening goals conceded.

The Citizens have conceded the first goal in five of the 10 games so far this season – the first time they have done so since the 2006-07 campaign. It’s likely Brighton swoop in to strike the first blow with current leading goalscorer Danny Welbeck doing the honours himself.

Welbeck has either scored (three) or assisted a goal (one) in each of his last four Premier League games for Brighton – one more and he’ll set a new personal best. The former Arsenal and Manchester United man is 19/2 to score first here if you fancy it.

This match could swing either way on paper. Brighton are unbeaten in their last five league home games (W2 D3) but a world in which Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City lose four games on the bounce is untenable. Even a draw seems unlikely given their old rivals in red, Liverpool, currently sit above them in pole position.

Blips for City were always expected at this point in the season – only once in the past four seasons did they have more points through 10 games than the 23 they have amassed now while that April 2018 dip in form did not stop them from obliterating the record for the most number of points in a single season (100).

Context is king and we expect City will rally as they have so many times before this weekend, finding a way through against a creative side enjoying a great start to the season so far.

Prediction: Brighton 1-3 Manchester City

Liverpool vs Aston Villa

Arne Slot’s Liverpool finally have headway in the Premier League title race.

The Reds’ victory over Brighton on Matchday 10 was sandwiched between defeats for Arsenal and Manchester City, providing them with a two-point advantage over second place and a six-point buffer to third.

Last Saturday’s crucial win was spearheaded by the insatiable Mohamed Salah. The Egyptian forward has the most goal contributions in the Premier League this term (12) and, of the 16 games he has featured in this season, he has failed to register a goal involvement in only four.

Cody Gakpo also seems to be finding his feet in this new-look Liverpool system. The versatile Dutch forward has now scored four goals in his last three competitive games and netted against Villa in the 3-3 draw last season – 23/10 for him score anytime this weekend is a decent proposition.

Is balancing European and domestic football proving too much for Villa? They have formulated impressive results on the continent with wins over Young Boys, Bayern Munich, and Bologna, but their league form has declined somewhat.

Matchday 10’s 4-1 defeat to a Dominic Solanke-inspired Tottenham means Unai Emery’s side have only mustered five points from their last five league games which is a worse run than Fulham, West Ham and newly promoted Leicester.

It’s hard to see Villa turning around their league form at Anfield, though. Liverpool have won five of the last six meetings on home turf and the Villans have only won one away game when playing a team starting the day atop the Premier League table (against Leeds United in January 2000).

Expect a home win as Liverpool tighten their grip on top spot.

Prediction: Liverpool 2-0 Aston Villa

Manchester United vs Leicester

It’s a fresh dawn at Manchester United and their suffering supporters, who are seeing their new manager Ruben Amorim in a new and exciting light after he led his Sporting CP side to a convincing 4-1 win over their city rivals in the Champions League.

But Ruud van Nistelrooy continues to lead the side, taking on Leicester at Old Trafford for the second time in two weeks. They beat the Foxes 5-2 in a League Cup outing just before the start of November.

The legendary Dutchman’s mandate revolves around goals. Manchester United are yet to break double figures in the Premier League, with just nine in 10 games. Only Crystal Palace (eight) and Southampton (seven) have scored fewer.

Some of that profligacy is down to the finishing of Alejandro Garnacho. The young Argentinian is the top scorer for the Red Devils this season with six goals but he was wasteful in the game against Chelsea at the weekend, spurning several big chances to score or assist in what has been the story of the season too often for the Red Devils’ biggest stars.

The Foxes, meanwhile, will come into this game with a point to prove after the cup result last month.

Scoring goals is not an issue for Steve Cooper’s outfit: they have done so in every Premier League game so far this season with only defending champions Manchester City able to brag likewise.

But keeping them out at the other end is a different issue altogether. Leicester have conceded 18 goals in the campaign – only West Ham (19) and Brentford (20) have shipped more.

Despite the host’s issues in front of goal, we can see this resulting in a high-scoring home win to round off Van Nistelrooy’s inteirm tenure.

Prediction: Manchester United 4-1 Leicester

Chelsea vs Arsenal

This is one of the great London rivalries.

It’s set up beautifully, too. A resurgent Cole Palmer-infused Chelsea taking on a battered and bruised Arsenal team faltering amid the club’s extremely lofty expectations following the relative success of the last two seasons.

This has not been a fun fixture for the Blues of late – they have won just one of their previous nine encounters with Arsenal (drawing two and losing six).

However, they do have Palmer. No player has been involved in more Premier League goals this season than the young man from Manchester, with seven goals and five assists. He could be key to unlocking a sturdy and solid-looking backline and is 27/25 to score or assist on Sunday.

And Arsenal are in a bit of trouble. They have lost their previous two away games – 2-0 to Bournemouth and 1-0 to Newcastle – with the last time they succumbed to three defeats in a row on the road all the way back in 2021.

Can assist king Bukayo Saka serve up a big performance to drag his team over the line at Stamford Bridge? No player has more assists in the league this year than his seven and he’s 17/5 to do so again against Chelsea.

This has the makings of a high-scoring thriller. Indeed, the last five games in the league between these two have spawned 20 goals for an average of four per game.

This one will conform to that in a score draw.

Prediction: Chelsea 2-2 Arsenal

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Odds correct at time of publication but subject to change. Please note: This week's Golden Goals deadline is Saturday 9th November 15:00. Opt-in is required and you can find out more here.

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