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GOLDEN GOALS MATCHDAY 12: MAN CITY TO END WINLESS RUN IN SPURS GOALFEST

It’s back! The Premier League returns from international duty in style for a Matchday 12 headlined by Manchester City vs Tottenham – two teams that haven’t lived up to their usual standards but, when they meet, tend to put on quite a show.

Elsewhere, fourth-place Arsenal welcome fifth-place Nottingham Forest to the Emirates, Aston Villa attempt to find their European form against Crystal Palace and Bournemouth take on Brighton in what should be an excellent contest between two teams enjoying excellent starts to the season.

On Sunday, meanwhile, Southampton take on current title favourites Liverpool and Ipswich Town meet Manchester United for Ruben Amorim’s debut.

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This is how we see it going on Matchday 12 of the Premier League…

Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest

Arsenal are the first of the tipped final top three to kick off this weekend, taking on the surprise hit of the season in Nottingham Forest.

The Gunners are unbeaten at home across all competitions so far this term and have a pretty good home record against their opponents come Saturday.

But this isn’t the Forest of old. Nuno Espirito Santo’s team have climbed to new heights after back-to-back relegation scraps; their 1-0 toppling of Liverpool at Anfield shows they are more than capable of giving out a few splinters to top opposition.

Both teams will look to their attack to produce something special given their records. October Premier League player of the month Chris Wood has scored an incredible 53.3% of Forest’s goals this season (eight of 15) with Kai Havertz finding the back of the net four times at the Emirates – the most of any player at home so far this term.

Fancy our Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest Golden Combo with the above in mind? Both teams to score, Arsenal to win and Havertz to score is currently 23/4.

They might be level on points with third-place Chelsea at the moment but Arsenal need to get back to winning ways if they have any hope of closing the nine-point gap to league leaders Liverpool – the news out of Manchester that Pep Guardiola has signed an extension is likely to galvanise a certain team sitting five-points ahead of the Gunners too.

Dropping any more points at this stage could be curtains for Arsenal’s title challenge – despite Forest’s stellar start to the season, that doesn’t seem likely on Mikel Arteta’s 250th game in charge.

Prediction: Arsenal 3-1 Nottingham Forest

Bournemouth vs Brighton

This game has all the ingredients for a Premier League classic.

The Cherries are enjoying a stellar period of home form with three wins on the bounce at the Vitality in the Premier League; a fourth victory would be a club record in the top flight.

Part of that run is down to the striking efficiency of Evanilson, who is looking to become only the second Bournemouth player to score in four games in a row since Callum Wilson. You can back him at odds of 43/20 with BetMGM to find the net again.

If Evanilson doesn’t get you, Antoine Semenyo might. The forward has registered 47 shots on goal in this campaign, with only Erling Haaland has managed more. He does need to work on his accuracy, however, with just 23.4% of those efforts on target explaining his relatively meagre four-goal return.

Brighton, meanwhile, come into this game off the back of an impressive comeback win over champions Manchester City. The Seagulls are finding goals from all over the pitch – there have been 11 separate scorers for Fabian Hurzeler’s men this season.

Given there have been 10 goals in Bournemouth’s previous three league games and 16 goals in Brighton’s last five league matches, this one could well be high-scoring. Brighton will just edge it.

Prediction: Bournemouth 2-3 Brighton

Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace

Aston Villa have struggled to balance European and domestic football in recent weeks.

They have won just one in their last six in the league, slipping to eighth, but they will see this as a route back on track as they face a Crystal Palace side with just one win all season.

Since winning four of the five opening Premier League games Villa have just one win – away at Fulham last month. Top scorer Ollie Watkins got four in those opening five games but the goals have dried up somewhat and he has found the back of the net just once since.

When it comes to goalscoring issues, though, the visitors here are having troubles of their own.

Palace have managed a meagre eight league goals all season, with only bottom-of-the-table Southampton scoring fewer (seven). Eberechi Eze tops their charts with three and central defender Marc Guehi is the only other player to score more than once in the Premier League.

Converting chances has been the issue, with the side from south London not clinical enough – they actually have a higher xG per 90 minutes than Villa (1.5 vs 1.4) yet have scored less than half the amount of the Villans.

The two sides have already met this season, Palace with a 2-1 win at Villa Park in the Carabao Cup, and of the last 13 meetings in all competitions only one of them has ended in a draw.

Palace won the last league meeting 5-0 at Selhurst Park, with Jean-Philippe Mateta scoring a hat-trick, but we can’t see them winning this one.

The 17/2 for Mateta and Ollie Wakins to score sounds appealing – but back Villa to get back to winning ways.

Prediction: Aston Villa 3-1 Crystal Palace

Manchester City vs Tottenham

Manchester City and Pep Guardiola are in uncharted waters.

The City boss had only once before lost four games in a row as a manager until the defeat to Brighton before the international break, while the last time it happened to City was way back in the 2006/07 season.

Guardiola has since agreed a contract extension but one thing he wouldn’t have wished for to end his losing run would be a game against Tottenham.

Ange Postecoglou’s men have provided some sticky moments for City and Guardiola over the past few years – and indeed the last few weeks, with the 2-1 Carabao Cup win for Spurs contributing to the four consecutive defeats.

Of the last 10 league meetings with Tottenham, City have won just three; not a record you would associate with a team that has lifted four consecutive Premier League titles.

Spurs have had an inconsistent start to the season, looking brilliant at times and reckless in others. Scoring goals hasn’t been a problem for either side though. Tottenham (23) and City (22) top the scoring charts as leading the league in xG per 90 minutes.

Haaland is the league’s top scorer and has played almost every Premier League minute so far. He has 12 goals, as well as a league-high 55 shots, though he has netted just two in his last six games.,

Nevertheless, we’re backing him to notch here in a game in which we’re expecting goals aplenty – 9/4 for Haaland to score, City to win and both teams to score seems like decent value in a game that Guardiola’s men really have to win, with Liverpool up next.

Prediction: Manchester City 3-2 Tottenham

Southampton vs Liverpool

Liverpool cemented themselves as 5/4 favourites for the Premier League title with results going their way a fortnight ago.

The Reds dominated Aston Villa in a 2-0 victory at Anfield while Manchester City and Arsenal dropped points to Brighton and Chelsea respectively.

Arne Slot’s ninth win of the season against the Villans means the former Feyenoord manager could become the joint-fastest head coach to 10 league wins alongside Guus Hiddink and Carlo Ancelotti.

More history can be made for the Merseyside club this weekend via Mohamed Salah. The imperious Egyptian forward can tie Wayne Rooney’s record (36) for scoring and assisting in the same Premier League match – something he has done four times already this campaign. He’s currently at 27/5 to score or assist this weekend.

Southampton can’t boast such impressive offensive numbers. The Saints are the lowest scorers in the league this season (seven), hold the second-lowest shot conversion rate (6.2%) and make a league-low 22% of their passes in the final third.

The south coast side rarely score and Liverpool rarely concede –this is a recipe for a comfortable away win for the league leaders.

Prediction: Southampton 0-3 Liverpool

Ipswich vs Manchester United

Ruben Amorim’s tenure at Manchester United begins with a trip to newly-promoted Ipswich Town on Sunday afternoon.

With a new man at the helm, the Red Devils are searching for consecutive Premier League wins for the first time this campaign after an impressive 3-0 victory over Leicester City before the international break extended their unbeaten run against promoted sides to 19 games.

Amorim’s Portuguese compatriot Bruno Fernandes was at the heart of everything United did right against the Foxes last time out.

The Old Trafford captain notched a goal and an assist, meaning he has five goal contributions across his last five matches. He could add to his goal tally again this weekend at 12/4 against the league’s joint-second leakiest defence.

It may be a new manager in the dugout for United fans but it is a familiar face in the other as Kieran McKenna returns to face his former employer for the first time.

McKenna hasn’t had the happiest start to life in England’s top flight with one victory from his opening 11 matches and no wins so far at Portman Road (three draws and two defeats).

However, he should be buoyed by the Tractor Boys’ victory before the international break and, in particular, the form of former Manchester City forward Liam Delap.

Delap scored eight league goals while on loan at Hull City last season and he has almost eclipsed that total by netting six times in his opening 11 league matches, meaning only Wood (53%) and Haaland (55%) have a better goal-share percentage than him this season (50%).

Can Delap rain on Amorim’s debut? It seems unlikely. Ipswich do not create enough offensively – they rank last in shots, shots on target, touches in the opposition box and xG.

It should be an enjoyable start to life under United’s youngest manager since 1969 with an away win.

Prediction: Ipswich 0-2 Manchester United

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Odds correct at time of publication but subject to change. Please note: This week's Golden Goals deadline is Saturday 23rd November 15:00. Opt-in is required and you can find out more here.

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