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BETMGM GOLDEN GOALS MD28: LIVERPOOL PRIMED FOR SAINTS SLAUGHTER

A daunting trip to face Liverpool at Anfield is on the cards for Southampton on Golden Goals Matchday 28, while Arsenal travel to Manchester United on Sunday looking to kick on from their thumping 7-1 midweek win over PSV Eindhoven in the Champions League.

Elsewhere, Crystal Palace face Ipswich and two sides with European hopes lock horns at the Amex as Brighton take on Fulham.

Aston Villa, fresh from a win in Brugge, head to Brentford while David Moyes takes his rejuvenated Everton side to Molineux, as struggling Wolves await.

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Liverpool 5-0 Southampton

It’s hard to think of two sides that could possibly be having more polar opposite seasons than Liverpool and Southampton.

Top of the Premier League, Champions League quarter-finalists and preparing for an EFL Cup final, the transition from Jurgen Klopp to Arne Slot has been seamless for the Reds.

In contrast the Saints sit bottom of the table with nine points, still two adrift of the lowest Premier League points tally ever, having lost nine of their last 10 games.

Their dismal campaign isn’t about to get any better with a trip to Anfield. Even taking current form out of the equation, Southampton have won one of the last 17 meetings with Liverpool, a 1-0 win in 2021.

Anfield is an intimidating proposition for a defence that has conceded at least three goals in seven of their last eight, even before you consider that Liverpool are by far and away the league’s top scorers with 66.

Meanwhile, Mohamed Salah has nine goals against Southampton in his career and 25 total in the league so far – including a brace in the 3-2 win at St Mary’s earlier in the campaign.

Salah will haunt Ivan Juric’s men once more – it’s 15/2 for Salah to score two or more, Liverpool to score over 4.5 goals in the match and Liverpool half-time/full-time.

Even the most optimistic Southampton fan won’t envisage getting anything here – and they won’t.

Crystal Palace 2-1 Ipswich

Despite suffering one of the worst starts to a Premier League season ever, Crystal Palace are in red-hot form as we enter the home straight to the campaign.

After winning just one of their first 10 league games, they have now lost just three in 15. The spectre of European football felt like a long way away after being demolished 5-1 at home to Arsenal before the turn of the year but, as goalscorer Eddie Nketiah explained after the 4-1 defeat of Aston Villa in the last league outing, the mood around Selhurst is now positively “buzzing”.

Could they make a late play for the top six? They will have to overcome what is a peculiar issue at home first. Only Manchester City (33) and Arsenal (29) have accrued more points than Crystal Palace (27) over the last 14 matchdays yet just eight of those points have come at Selhurst Park.

If they were to handpick the opponent to boost that home form, Ipswich would be right up there. Palace have never lost to the Tractor Boys in the Premier League and Kieran McKenna’s men are also on a horrific run of form with just one win in 12 in the league.

They have conceded 20 goals in their last six league games and have kept just two clean sheets all season.

There were signs of solidity in the FA Cup exit to Nottingham Forest on Monday night, conceding just four shots on target across the 120 minutes. But it’s difficult to see where a clean sheet is coming from just the same.

Despite their suspect home form, Palace will get the job done.

Brighton 2-2 Fulham

Fresh from dumping Newcastle out of the FA Cup, Brighton face a Fulham side coming off a dramatic penalty shootout win over Manchester United.

This is essentially a meeting of equals: the home side sit eighth and the away side ninth while both have three wins and three defeats from their last six.

There’s genuine hope of a European spot come the end of the season, with both within two wins of fourth-placed Manchester City.

For all their similarities this season, though, the head-to-head record presents a huge contrast.

In nine attempts, Brighton have never beaten Fulham in the Premier League and have picked up just four points total in those meetings.

The last win for the Seagulls in this fixture came at Craven Cottage in the Championship in 2017 – that said, Brighton have still managed to lose just once at home to Fulham in that time.

Former Sunderland loanee Danny Welbeck was the hero at St James’ Park on Sunday and has eight Premier League goals this term. Raul Jimenez has 11 for Fulham so 34/1 for both to score in a draw here could represent decent value.

The stats can’t separate Brighton and Fulham to any great degree – and neither can we. Score draw.

Brentford 1-2 Aston Villa

Aston Villa brought a 3-1 lead back from their Champions League last 16 first leg game against Club Brugge and will be hoping to build on it in west London on Golden Goals Matchday 28..

The Villans sit 10th in the table, one place ahead of their opponents here and within four points of fourth-placed Manchester City. European aspirations will once again be on the cards for Unai Emery’s men – but they must sort out the inconsistency which has plagued them this season.

A creditable draw with Liverpool and a pulsating win over Chelsea followed by a 4-1 bruising at Crystal Palace was a microcosm of their league campaign to date.

Their match against Brentford is a clash of two sides struggling for consistency – the Bees have been impressive of late, winning two of their last three, but are without a home win in the league since the beginning of December. Prior to that, they had won six of their opening seven at the Community Stadium.

The Bees haven’t beaten Villa since 2022 and that 2-1 win is their sole victory over the West Midlands side in the Premier League.

It must be said, though, that Villa’s defence has been their Achilles heel; only Wolves (57) and West Ham (47) outside the bottom three have shipped more than Emery’s men’s 45..

Brentford themselves have conceded 43, so we are expecting goals here. There have been 19 of those scored in the last five meetings between these two, with both teams scoring in the last four into the bargain.

We’re backing that to continue on Matchday 28 and it would be no surprise to see backers for a 9/1 Bet Builder featuring the on-fire Marco Asensio – with five goals in four games – find the net in a Villa victory where both teams have scored.

A first away win since January beckons for the men in claret and blue.

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Wolves 1-1 Everton

When David Moyes was reappointed as Everton manager in January, just one point separated them from Wolves.

The Old Gold were 17th with Everton one place better off. They remain in the same positions but are now 10 points apart.

The recent revival in the blue half of Merseyside has seen them pull 15 points clear of the relegation zone. They have lost just one of Moyes’ league games since his return and none of the last seven.

Everton have lost just once on the road since 1st December and, with Wolves having just three home victories all season, they will fancy their chances here.

The Old Gold have lost six of their last eight Premier League matches and are still too close to the drop zone for comfort. Though they have a five-point cushion, their failure to build on a vital win at Bournemouth by losing at home to Fulham last time out will feel like an opportunity missed. This one feels like an opportunity they must take.

So much as conceding a goal seems to be a death knell for Wolves’ chances of a home win this season. All of their three wins have been to-nil and that’s not something that is likely to happen here. Moyes’ boys have found their shooting boots of late and have scored as many (15) in his eight games in charge as they did in their previous 19.

That turnaround is embodied by forward Beto, who has four in five after notching just two in his first 14. Goals will surely be on the cards given Wolves’ dreadful record and the fact both teams have scored in all of their last four matches – Beto to score in a Molineux draw comes in at a tasty 11/1.

Admittedly, there has only been one league draw at Molineux this term… but you can make this number two.

Manchester United 1-3 Arsenal

The pain continues to mount for Ruben Amorim and his collection of square pegs in round holes.

After a creditable 3-2 win over Ipswich at home last week despite playing more than a half of football with 10 men, any green shoots of optimism were cut down by Fulham in the FA Cup on Sunday.

Among the litany of issues facing the Red Devils the most glaring is the lack of goals. They have scored just 33 goals in the league – Crystal Palace (35), Wolves (37) and Fulham (40) have all managed more.

In replacing Rasmus Hojlund on Sunday, 17-year-old striker Chido Obi had three big chances to score, the same number the man he replaced has had in his past 22 games.

Is the Dane now on thin ice? Hojlund has not scored a goal since 12th December despite being a mainstay of the starting XI throughout that time.

He averages just 3.5 touches in the opposing penalty area per game across the course of the season. As a way of comparison, Alejandro Garnacho (8.4), Amad Diallo (7.3), Marcus Rashford (5.1) and Joshua Zirkzee (4.7) all return better averages in this metric.

The Gunners are unlikely to challenge for the Premier League title now but they come into this match off the back of a scintillating performance away at PSV Eindhoven in the Champions League.

The 7-1 victory included a goal for the prodigious Ethan Nwaneri, who is the talk of the town in north London. He had more shots than any of his team-mates on Tuesday evening and the joint-most touches in the opposing penalty area.

It was his eighth goal in 28 appearances this season. Given the travails of the hosts at the moment, we like a Bet Builder of Arsenal to win, over 2.5 goals for Arsenal, and Ethan Nwaneri to score at 19/2.

As for the end result, well, it’s hard to see anything other than an away win.

Odds correct at time of publication but subject to change. Please note: This week's Golden Goals deadline is Saturday 8th March, 15:00. Opt-in is required and you can find out more here.

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