Wales vs England: Six Nations Betting Tips
England will be looking to secure their first Six Nations title since 2020 when they face Wales at the Principality Stadium in Cardiff for the final round of the 2025 championship on Saturday.
After a narrow opening loss to Ireland, England have bounced back with three consecutive victories, including a convincing 47-24 win over Italy last weekend. They currently sit second in the table, just one point behind leaders France, and know that a bonus-point win could see them lift the trophy - if results go their way.
Wales, winless in the tournament so far, are desperate to avoid the wooden spoon and will be determined to end their 16-match losing streak in front of a passionate home crowd.
Wales v England Betting Tips
Team News
England have made four changes to the side that defeated Italy. Luke Cowan-Dickie starts at hooker, while Marcus Smith is brought back in at full-back in another bold move by Steve Borthwick. Tom Roebuck makes his first start of the championship on the right wing, with Elliot Daly shifting to the left. In the back row, the Curry twins reunite as Ben joins Tom, with Ben Earl retained at No. 8.
For Wales, Matt Sherratt has made two changes to his starting XV from last week’s 35-29 defeat at Murrayfield. Aaron Wainwright comes into the back row at blindside flanker, with captain Jac Morgan moving to openside. Scarlets centre Joe Roberts is handed his first start of the championship on the left wing, with Ellis Mee shifting to the right.
Tip 1 – England to win by 1-12 points @ 7/4
England enter this clash as clear favourites, but recent history in this fixture suggests it will be a tight encounter — the last five meetings between these sides have been decided by 11 points or fewer.
While England have shown improvement throughout the tournament, they've relied on narrow margins in their victories over France and Scotland. The electric atmosphere at the Principality Stadium can lift Wales as they bid to emerge from the gloom of 16 straight Test defeats.
Sherratt’s side pushed Ireland close in their last home game, moving into an 18-10 lead early in the second half before Simon Easterby’s team showed their champion qualities.
Key to Wales' chances will be the performance of their pack, particularly at the breakdown. If they can disrupt England's ball and provide a platform for the likes of Gareth Anscombe to dictate play, they could frustrate Borthwick’s attack-minded team and keep the score close.
However, England's high-quality bench options and championship motivation should prove decisive over 80 minutes. Expect a ferocious start from Wales, but England can come through in the closing stages to take a narrow victory if they retain their belief and discipline.
Tip 2 – Marcus Smith anytime tryscorer @ 8/5
The selection of Marcus Smith at fullback is an intriguing move by Steve Borthwick, potentially adding an extra dimension to England's attack. Smith's pace, vision, and ability to exploit gaps make him a dangerous threat from the back, especially as the game opens up in the latter stages.
Wales have conceded an average of 3.75 tries per game in this year's championship, and Smith's positioning at fullback could see him profit from broken field situations and counter-attacking opportunities.
With England likely needing to secure a bonus point to keep their title hopes alive, expect them to adopt a more expansive game plan, which could create scoring chances for the versatile Smith.
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